How
Do You Know When You Have Enough to Retire?
There
is no simple answer, but consider some factors.
Provided by Jared Daniel of Wealth Guardian Group
You save for retirement with the
expectation that at some point, you will have enough savings to walk
confidently away from the office and into the next phase of life. So how do you
know if you have reached that point?
Retirement
calculators are useful – but only to a point. The dilemma is that they can’t predict your retirement
lifestyle. You may retire on 65% of your end salary only to find that you
really need 90% of your end salary to do the things you would like to do.
That said, once you estimate your income need you can
get more specific thanks to some simple calculations.
Let’s say you are 10 years from your envisioned
retirement date and your current income is $70,000. You presume that you can retire
on 65% of that, which is $45,500 – but leaving things at $45,500 is too simple,
because we need to factor in inflation. You won’t need $45,500; you will need
its inflation-adjusted equivalent. Turning to a Bankrate.com calculator, we
plug that $45,500 in as the base amount along with 3% annual interest
compounded (i.e., moderate inflation) over 10 years ... and we get $61,148.1
Now we start to look at where this $61,148 might come
from. How much of it will come from Social Security? If you haven’t saved one
of those mailers that projects your expected retirement benefits if you retire
at 62, 66, or 70, you can find that out via the Social Security website. On the
safe side, you may want to estimate your Social Security benefits as slightly
lower than projected – after all, they could someday be reduced given the
long-run challenges Social Security faces. If you are in line for pension
income, your employer’s HR people can help you estimate what your annual
pension payments could be.
Let’s say Social Security + pension = $25,000. If you
anticipate no other regular income sources in retirement, this means you need
investment and savings accounts large enough to generate $36,148 a year for you
if you go by the 4% rule (i.e., you draw down your investment principal by 4%
annually). This means you need to amass $903,700 in portfolio and savings
assets.
Of course, there are many other variables to consider
– your need or want to live on more or less than 4%, a gradual inflation
adjustment to the 4% initial withdrawal rate, Social Security COLAs, varying
annual portfolio returns and inflation rates, and so forth. Calculations can’t
foretell everything.
The same can
be said for “retirement studies”. For example, Aon Hewitt now projects that the average
“full-career” employee at a large company needs to have 15.9 times their salary
saved up at age 65 in addition to Social Security income to sustain their
standard of living into retirement. It also notes that the average long-term
employee contributing consistently to an employer-sponsored retirement plan
will accumulate retirement resources of 8.8 times their salary by age 65.
That’s a big gap, but Aon Hewitt doesn’t factor in resources like IRAs, savings
accounts, investment portfolios, home equity, rental payments and other
retirement assets or income sources.2
For the record, the latest Fidelity estimate shows the
average 401(k) balance amassed by a worker 55 or older at $150,300; the
Employee Benefit Research Institute just released a report showing that the
average IRA owner has an aggregate IRA balance of $87,668.2
Retiring later might make a substantial
difference. If you retire at 70
rather than at 65, you are giving presumably significant retirement savings
that may have compounded for decades five additional years of compounding and
growth. That could be huge. Think of what that could do for you if your retirement
nest egg is well into six figures. You will also have five fewer years of retirement
to fund and five more years to tap employer health insurance. If your health,
occupation, or employer let you work longer, why not try it? If you are married
or in a relationship, your spouse’s retirement savings and salary can also help.
Can anyone save too much for retirement? The short answer is “no”, but occasionally you notice
some “good savers” or “millionaires next door” who keep working even though
they have accumulated enough of a nest egg to retire. Sometimes executives make
a “golden handshake” with a company and can’t fathom walking away from an
opportunity to greatly boost their retirement savings. Other savers fall into a
“just one more year” mindset – they dislike their jobs, but the boredom is
comforting and familiar to them in ways that retirement is not. They can’t live
forever; do they really want to work forever, especially in a high-pressure or
stultifying job? That choice might harm their health or worldview and make
their futures less rewarding.
So how close are you to retiring? A chat with a financial professional on this
topic might be very illuminating. In discussing your current retirement
potential, an answer to that question may start to emerge.
Jared Daniel may be reached
at www.wgmoney.com or
jared.daniel@wealthguardiangroup.com
This material was prepared by MarketingLibrary.Net Inc., and does
not necessarily represent the views of the presenting party, nor their
affiliates. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we
make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. Please note -
investing involves risk, and past performance is no guarantee of future
results. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other
professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage
the services of a competent professional. This information should not be
construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose
of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. This is neither a solicitation nor
recommendation to purchase or sell any investment or insurance product or
service, and should not be relied upon as such. All indices are unmanaged and
are not illustrative of any particular investment.
Citations.
1 - bankrate.com/calculators/savings/simple-savings-calculator.aspx
[5/30/13]
2 - marketwatch.com/story/how-to-know-if-you-have-enough-to-retire-2013-05-25
[5/25/13]
No comments:
Post a Comment