Understanding the Markets
What the acronyms signify & what affects investors.
Dow. NASDAQ. S&P 500.
Fear index. NYSE. Commodity prices. Earnings. Economic indicators. These are
the gauges and signposts of investing, but if you stopped most people on the
street, you’ll find they have only a hazy understanding of what these terms
signify or reference. If you’ve ever been left dizzy by the jargon of the
financial world, here is a brief article that may help clarify some of the
arcana. Let’s start on Wall Street.
The major U.S. indices. The Dow Jones Industrial Average tracks how 30
publicly owned companies trade on a market day – the “blue chips”, 30 titans of
U.S. and global business chosen by the Wall
Street Journal, most not actually industrial. The NASDAQ Composite records the
performance of 3,000+ companies on the NASDAQ Stock Market (see below),
including many technology firms. The S&P 500 logs the performance of 500 leading
publicly traded companies across ten different sectors (business/industry categories),
as determined by financial research giant Standard & Poor’s (there was
actually a Mr. Poor, hence the name).1,2
At the end of the trading
day, these indices settle or “close” at a price level. The Dow is a
price-weighted index – that is, its value each trading day rides up or down on
the price movements of its 30 components. By contrast, the S&P 500 and
NASDAQ (and most other stock indices) are cap-weighted, meaning the index value
reflects the total market value of the companies in the index and not simply
the prices of individual components. The S&P 500 has both a price return
and a total return (the total return includes dividends).1,2
While the nightly news tells
everyone what the Dow did today, many seasoned investors pay more attention to
the S&P 500, which represents about 70% of the value of the U.S. stock
market. There are other indices that also grab Wall Street’s attention.
Investors watch the Russell 2000 (which lists the “small caps”, usually newer
and younger firms than found in the predominantly “large-cap” S&P 500) and
the Wilshire 5000, which tracks stocks of almost every publicly owned company
in America (6,000+ components). Eyes are also on the “fear index”, the CBOE VIX
(Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index), which measures investors’
expectations of volatility (read: market risk) in the S&P 500 for the next
30 days. Important multinational indices (the MSCI World and Emerging Markets
indices, the Global Dow, the S&P Global 100, and many more) and foreign
indices (Japan’s Nikkei 225, Germany’s DAX, China’s Shanghai Composite and many
others) also get a look.2,3,4,5
The stock exchanges. Stocks trade on exchanges, with the most
prominent in America being the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), the “big board” at
which celebrities are seen ringing the opening or closing bell. Other notable
U.S. stock and securities markets include the American Stock Exchange (AMEX),
the CBOE and the NASDAQ Stock Market. While the NYSE trading day runs from
9:30am-4:00pm EST, pre-market and after-hours trading also occurs as investors
respond to earnings announced after or before the bell or overseas
developments.
The NYMEX, the COMEX & the forex market. The CME Group of Chicago
owns and operates the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), the biggest
physical commodities exchange on the planet. The NYMEX tracks energy futures
such as oil and natural gas and it also has a COMEX division for metals such as
gold, silver and copper futures.
(Platinum and palladium futures actually trade on the NYMEX instead of the
COMEX.) Agricultural commodity futures and options are traded on the CME
Group’s Chicago Mercantile Exchange. Over-the-counter currency trading occurs via the worldwide,
decentralized forex (foreign exchange) market. Short-term movements in exchange
rates do influence stocks. 6,7
The bond
market. Further decentralized trading
occurs here, conducted by institutional and individual investors, governments
and traders buying, selling and issuing government, corporate and
mortgage-linked securities (and other varieties). Bond prices fall when bond
yields rise, and vice versa. Interest rate changes affect the bond market more
than any other factor; credit rating adjustments and changes in the appetite
for risk (i.e., a race to or retreat from stocks by investors) can also play
roles.
What moves
the markets up and down? Information
– or more precisely, the way large institutional investors respond to it.
Things really move when the equilibrium of the market is upset by either
positive or negative breaking news – it could be a geopolitical development, a
natural disaster, a central bank decision, a comment from a Federal Reserve
official or the Treasury Secretary, it could be many things. It could be earnings
reports – corporate earnings are sometimes called the “mother’s milk” of stocks,
and when two or three big companies beat estimates, Wall Street may see big
gains that day.
The markets also respond to an ongoing stream of
economic news releases from the federal government and other organizations. Federal
Reserve policy announcements (interest rate adjustments, the implementation or
cessation of stimulus efforts) get the most attention, and the Labor
Department’s monthly employment report finishes second. Other critical monthly releases
include the Commerce Department’s consumer spending report, the Bureau of Labor
Statistics Consumer Price Index measuring consumer inflation, and monthly reports
on existing home sales (from the National Association of Realtors), new home
sales (from the Census Bureau) and home values (via the S&P/Case-Shiller
Home Price Index).
There are other key reports: the occasionally
contradictory consumer confidence surveys from the University of Michigan and
the Conference Board (the CB poll is more respected, as it surveys 5,000
people; the Michigan poll surveys only 500, but asks many more questions) and
the Institute for Supply Management’s monthly purchasing manager indexes assessing
the health of the manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors of the economy (these
are simply surveys of purchasing managers at businesses, minus hard data).8,9
Hopefully, this makes things a little less mysterious.
It takes a while to get to know the financial world and its pulse, but that
knowledge may reward you in tangible and intangible ways.
Jared
Daniel may be reached at www.wgmoney.com
or jared.daniel@wealthguardiangroup.com
This material was prepared by MarketingLibrary.Net Inc., and does
not necessarily represent the views of the presenting party, nor their
affiliates. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we
make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. Please note -
investing involves risk, and past performance is no guarantee of future
results. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other
professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage
the services of a competent professional. This information should not be
construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the
purpose of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. This is neither a solicitation nor
recommendation to purchase or sell any investment or insurance product or service,
and should not be relied upon as such. All indices are unmanaged and are not
illustrative of any particular investment.
Citations.
1 - investorguide.com/article/11617/introduction-to-stock-indexes-djia-and-the-nasdaq-igu/
[1/25/13]
2 - fool.com/school/indices/sp500.htm [6/6/13]
3 - fool.com/school/indices/russell2000.htm [6/6/13]
4 - fool.com/school/indices/Wilshire5000.htm [6/6/13]
5 - investopedia.com/terms/v/vix.asp [6/6/13]
6 - investopedia.com/terms/n/nymex.asp [6/6/13]
7 - cmegroup.com/trading/agricultural/ [6/6/13]
8 - foxnews.com/us/2012/05/29/how-2-us-consumer-confidence-surveys-differ/
[5/29/12]
9 - briefing.com/Investor/Calendars/Economic/Releases/napm.htm
[6/3/13]